WTF Dailies July 30, 2025

• US stock futures traded flat as investors braced for the Federal Reserve's next interest rate decision and earnings from tech giants Microsoft (MSFT) and Meta (META).
• The Fed kicked off its two-day policy meeting Tuesday and will report its decision on interest rates Wednesday at 2 p.m. ET. With the central bank is expected to hold rates steady, Wall Street will be closely watching the Fed's "dot plot" and remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell for signals on potential rate cuts later this year.
• Looking forward to Thursday, Apple (AAPL) and Amazon (AMZN) will report their results. Wall Street will also get another clue as to the possible direction of interest rates with the release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index.
• Finally, Trump's deadline for trade partners to strike deals with the US or else face blanket tariff rates looms over markets this week, with the cutoff set for Friday.
• Asian stock markets were mixed on Wednesday, with Australia gaining on a soft quarterly inflation print, though investors remained cautious ahead of key central bank decisions from the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve. Markets remained on edge ahead of the August 1 deadline when Washington may impose new tariffs if trade deals are not finalised. 
• President Donald Trump said on Tuesday that India may face U.S. tariffs of 20% to 25%, signaling broader trade tension risks even amid progress with the European Union and China.
• Meanwhile, U.S. and Chinese officials resumed talks in Stockholm on Tuesday, aiming to extend their 90‑day tariff truce beyond its expiry on August 12. 
• Sentiment remains fragile as firms and investors weigh how higher baseline tariffs and uncertainty around the August 1 U.S. deadline may curb growth and margins. 
• Futures for India’s Nifty 50 edged 0.1% lower on Wednesday. In Australia, second-quarter CPI data showed inflation cooled to 2.1% year-on-year, down from 2.4%, while core trimmed‑mean inflation slowed to 2.7%. 
• The surprisingly soft reading has bolstered expectations of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia in August.
• Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.7% on Wednesday.
• Elsewhere, South Korea’s KOSPI jumped 0.9% on hopes of a U.S. trade deal before the deadline.
• China’s Shanghai Composite index rose 0.7%, while the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 climbed 0.8%.
• Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index edged 0.3% lower after trimming some early losses. Singapore’s Straits Times Index ticked down 0.2%.
• Investors are now turning to policy actions from the Bank of Japan and the U.S. Federal Reserve. 
• The BOJ is expected to hold rates steady on Thursday but may offer a brighter economic outlook following Japan’s trade deal with the U.S. 
• Japan’s Nikkei 225 was largely unchanged on Wedneday, while the broader TOPIX index gained 0.4%. Fed officials began a two‑day meeting on Tuesday, with a rate decision due on Wednesday. The central bank is widely expected to keep rates at 4.25%‑4.50%.

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This daily briefing is curated from a wide range of reputable sources including news wires, research desks, and financial data providers. The insights presented here are a synthesis of key developments across global markets, intended to inform and spark thought.

No Investment Advice: This content is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, recommendation, or endorsement.

Timing Note: Each edition is assembled based on the market context available at the time of writing. Timing, emphasis, and interpretations may vary depending on global developments and publishing windows.