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WTF Dailies September 11, 2025

US stock futures inched up as Wall Street's attention turned from an upbeat day marked by renewed AI fervor to the next tranche of critical economic data.

Sage Kakkat

10 Sep 2025 — 5 min read

US stock futures inched up as Wall Street's attention turned from an upbeat day marked by renewed AI fervor to the next tranche of critical economic data.
The final data point on inflation that is set to land before the Fed's September 19th meeting arrives Thursday. August's Consumer Price Index (CPI), due at 8:30 a.m. ET, is expected to show inflation remained sticky last month, with headline prices rising. Investors will be vigilant for indications President Trump's tariffs are impacting prices.
The CPI reading, however, is not expected to pack enough punch to dissuade the Fed from cutting rates in light of a significant slowdown in the labor market. Markets are pricing in a 92% chance of a 25 basis point cut at the Fed's meeting, according to the CME FedWatch tool, and an 8% chance of a larger half-point reduction.
The US Department of Labor's Thursday release of weekly jobless claims will consequently be of more interest than usual to Wall Street.
Most Asian stock markets rose on Thursday, with China leading gains on renewed U.S. artificial intelligence optimism, while Japan’s Nikkei notched fresh record highs amid political turmoil at home.
Traders kept a close eye on U.S. consumer price inflation data due later in the session.
Japan’s Nikkei 225 index jumped over 1% on Thursday to hit a fresh record high of 44,288.47 points, reaching peaks above 44,000 points for the second time this week.
The move comes after Japanese Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba stepped down on Sunday following heavy election losses and growing internal party dissent.
This sparked expectations that his successor may pursue more expansionary fiscal and monetary policies.
Market sentiment was also supported this week by confirmation of a U.S.-Japan deal lowering tariffs on Japanese auto exports by mid-September.
Japan’s broader TOPIX index edged 0.2% higher, remaining just below record highs reached earlier this week.
China’s Shanghai Composite jumped 1.1%, while the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 advanced nearly 2%.
Chipmaking stocks rallied on renewed optimism over artificial intelligence demand after software firm Oracle secured multi-billion-dollar AI contracts, sending its shares sharply higher on Wednesday.
Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index pared sharp losses to trade 0.3% lower, remaining close to a four-year high with sharp gains in the past few sessions.
The Hang Seng TECH sub-index, which retreated over 1.3% in early trade, recouped all its losses to trade flat, boosted by chip stocks.
South Korea’s KOSPI rose 0.4%, while Singapore’s Straits Times Index was largely unchanged.
Elsewhere, Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.5%, while India’s Nifty 50 opened largely flat.
On the economic front, data on Wednesday showed an unexpected easing in U.S. producer price inflation for August, strengthening the case for the Fed to cut rates by a quarter-point at its September 17 meeting.
The more widely-watched U.S. consumer prices data is due later on Thursday, and is expected to provide further clarity on how far and how fast the Federal Reserve might ease monetary policy.

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